IAESAT: the economy measured from space
Can economic activity be measured where there are no reliable statistics?
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Pablo
Ruiz Carrizosa
I turn economic data into tools for understanding markets, activity and risk.
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Economic Sentiment Index
Can the tone of thousands of news stories anticipate activity and risk?
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Prediction markets and sovereign risk
Does Polymarket anticipate movements in CDS and the EMBI?
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Financial Dollarization and International Reserve Holdings: Cross-Country Evidence from Emerging and Developing Economies
International reservesFinancial dollarizationRandom ForestPanel data
Does deposit dollarization condition the relationship between international reserves and their conventional determinants?
Using a panel of about 130 countries over 2000–2022, Random Forest models and fixed-effects regressions, the paper finds that in more dollarized economies financial depth, banking-sector liquidity and short-term external liabilities become more relevant, while trade-related variables lose weight.
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I am an economist from the Pontificia Universidad Javeriana (Summa Cum Laude), with experience in applied economic research in the multilateral sector and in macroeconomic outlook consulting. I am interested in the intersection between quantitative methods and communication: a good model is only useful if its results can be explained clearly to the decision-maker.
I develop applied research, indicators and visualizations that transform complex information into clear, defensible analysis.
- 3+ years of experience
- 15+ quantitative projects
- 9+ countries analyzed
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Stablecoins: private money, public debt
Global demand for digital payments becomes demand for Treasuries.
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Dollarization: what the literature actually says
Why it persists even as inflation falls, and what works to reverse it.
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The credit channel: how the Fed reaches your local bank
From the global financial cycle to the supply of credit in Latin America.
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Applied research, macro-financial data and economic visualization.