A monthly economic activity index with subnational detail, built from satellite night lights — useful where statistics arrive late or have stopped being published.
It replicates the official GDP cycle, even for Venezuela.
The tone of thousands of news stories (GDELT) turned into a weekly and monthly sentiment indicator for 8 Latin American economies.
It tracks the cycle 1–2 quarters ahead.
Do Polymarket probabilities anticipate movements in CDS and the EMBI? Event studies and local projections around electoral windows.
75% directional accuracy.
Covers: public-domain and CC BY images — NASA (International Space Station), «Newspaper» by Ka23 13, CC BY 4.0 (press), and «Electronic stock board in Yaesu» by nappa, CC BY 2.0 (stock board).
A reproducible dashboard of current conditions: inflation, activity, rates and the foreign exchange market, with automated ingestion from official sources.
Let us talk about data, methods or collaborations.